Piauiense Inicial Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Fluminense PI vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 1
FPI
24%
23%
54%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FPI
2 - 1
AAO
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
ALT
0 - 0
FPI
55%
21%
24%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FPI
0 - 1
RIV
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 1
FPI
26%
23%
52%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 1
FPI
24%
23%
54%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 0
COR
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
4DE
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 0
4DE
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 1
FPI
26%
23%
52%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |