Fløya vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
10.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
11º
10º
29
10º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fløya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
OPP
3 - 2
FLO
25%
22%
54%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 3
SKE
83%
10%
6%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ASK
0 - 1
FLO
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 0
HIS
96%
3%
1%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
SKA
0 - 0
FLO
15%
17%
68%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 3
SIK
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 0
SAR
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
LOR
23%
20%
57%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 0
SAR
62%
19%
19%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
KFU
66%
17%
17%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |