UCL Qualifying First round Final
Global 1-2
FC Flora vs Sheriff analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
SHF
1 - 0
FLO
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2003 |
TVM
4 - 4
FLO
51%
23%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
FLO
3 - 0
LEV
89%
9%
3%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2003 |
LEV
1 - 2
FLO
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
TUL
0 - 2
FLO
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
SHF
1 - 0
FLO
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
DAC
1 - 2
SHF
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
TIR
4 - 4
SHF
25%
26%
50%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
SHF
3 - 0
ZIM
55%
23%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
NIS
1 - 0
SHF
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |