FC Flora vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
8º
2º
15
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 75 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 69 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 62 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 43 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 35 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 33 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
19.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
64.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FLO
1 - 0
PAI
47%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LEV
0 - 0
FLO
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
TAM
1 - 2
FLO
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
KAL
1 - 2
FLO
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FLO
5 - 0
KUR
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
HJP
4 - 1
TAM
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
HJP
1 - 2
PAI
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
KAL
3 - 0
HJP
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
PAR
1 - 1
HJP
29%
23%
49%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HJP
0 - 3
TRA
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |