UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 0-5
FC Flora vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
ESV
0 - 6
FLO
3%
8%
89%
|
78 | 20 | 58 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
FLO
3 - 0
SIK
79%
14%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
FLO
5 - 0
VIL
86%
11%
4%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2012 |
FLO
12 - 0
JKL
92%
6%
2%
|
78 | 19 | 59 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
TAM
0 - 2
FLO
5%
14%
81%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
SER
0 - 1
BAS
24%
23%
54%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 2
YOB
56%
21%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SER
2 - 1
BAS
22%
22%
56%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCL
66%
18%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
BAS
6 - 3
GCZ
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |