FC Flora Tallin II vs FC Elva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
7º
6º
38
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 85 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 75 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 67 |
3º
|
68% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 55 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 40 |
7º
|
61.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 25 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 14 |
10º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora Tallin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FLO
0 - 0
VJK
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
TAM
2 - 1
FLO
12%
18%
71%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
FLO
2 - 2
TKA
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
FCT
1 - 0
FLO
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
FLO
0 - 1
FCE
71%
17%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FC Elva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FCE
5 - 3
TKA
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
NOM
4 - 1
FCE
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
FCE
1 - 0
VJK
34%
27%
40%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
WEL
2 - 5
FCE
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2025 |
FAT
1 - 2
FCE
24%
22%
54%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |