Flint Mountain vs Penrhyncoch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Mountain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
PEN
6 - 1
FMC
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
FMC
1 - 2
AIR
23%
22%
55%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
LLA
1 - 0
FMC
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
LLW
1 - 1
FMC
17%
18%
65%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
FMC
4 - 0
CPD
50%
23%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Penrhyncoch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
PEN
6 - 1
FMC
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
PEN
0 - 0
MOL
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
PEN
1 - 0
LLW
73%
15%
12%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
PEN
1 - 3
AIR
10%
17%
74%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
CAE
1 - 2
PEN
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |