Flint Mountain vs Gresford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
66%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Mountain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
CON
4 - 3
FMC
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 68 | 51 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TNS
2 - 1
FMC
95%
4%
2%
|
18 | 68 | 50 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 0
FMC
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 68 | 50 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
FMC
2 - 1
SGA
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FMC
2 - 1
CLC
26%
21%
53%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 2
PRE
61%
19%
20%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 2
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 1
GRE
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 2
RTW
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MOL
1 - 0
GRE
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |