Flint Mountain vs Gresford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
52.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Mountain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FMC
2 - 3
CAE
21%
19%
61%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
FMC
7 - 0
RTW
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 49 | 33 | +12 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FMC
0 - 3
GRE
16%
18%
66%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
CON
4 - 3
FMC
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 68 | 51 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TNS
2 - 1
FMC
95%
4%
2%
|
18 | 68 | 50 | -1 |
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
3 - 0
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 4
AIR
13%
18%
69%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
LLW
82%
12%
7%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FMC
0 - 3
GRE
16%
18%
66%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 2
PRE
61%
19%
20%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |