Flint Mountain vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
60.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Mountain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
FMC
7 - 0
RTW
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FMC
0 - 3
GRE
16%
18%
66%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
CON
4 - 3
FMC
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 68 | 51 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TNS
2 - 1
FMC
95%
4%
2%
|
18 | 68 | 50 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 0
FMC
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 68 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 2
CAE
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 1
HOL
10%
15%
75%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
5 - 0
LLA
89%
8%
3%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 3
CAE
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 1
DEN
35%
24%
42%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |