Flevo Boys vs Berkum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flevo Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
WHC
1 - 0
FLE
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
FLE
3 - 2
GOA
50%
24%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
STA
2 - 4
FLE
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
FLE
2 - 1
NUN
34%
25%
42%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
FLE
1 - 6
HAR
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Berkum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
BEQ
1 - 1
BER
71%
18%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BER
1 - 1
PKC
57%
22%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 2
BER
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BER
0 - 2
GOA
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
BER
0 - 3
HHC
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |