US Fleury-Merogis vs ES Wasquehal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
2º
38
2º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
2 - 2
COL
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
REI
2 - 3
FLE
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FLE
0 - 0
SPI
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 1
FLE
20%
25%
54%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FLE
2 - 1
FUR
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ES Wasquehal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ESW
1 - 2
SPI
18%
24%
58%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FUR
0 - 1
ESW
70%
20%
11%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ESW
1 - 3
STG
31%
29%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SML
3 - 1
ESW
68%
20%
11%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ESW
2 - 1
BOB
15%
24%
61%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +2 |