US Fleury-Merogis vs Rivière-de-Corps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AUB
1 - 1
FLE
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FLE
3 - 1
SAR
37%
25%
39%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MOU
2 - 0
FLE
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FCM
1 - 0
FLE
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FLE
2 - 2
YZE
38%
27%
36%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Rivière-de-Corps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AUX
3 - 0
RIV
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 1
NAN
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FCS
4 - 0
RIV
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 2
RCE
30%
24%
45%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
RIV
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |