US Fleury-Merogis vs Stade de Reims II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
2º
22
2º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SPI
2 - 1
FLE
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FLE
3 - 1
FCS
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FUR
0 - 0
FLE
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FLE
3 - 0
STG
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 0
LUS
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stade de Reims II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
REI
2 - 3
FCS
30%
24%
47%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
USB
1 - 2
REI
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
REI
1 - 3
ESW
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
REI
63%
22%
16%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
REI
2 - 2
LUS
19%
23%
58%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |