US Fleury-Merogis vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
FLE
12%
20%
68%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FBB
2 - 0
FLE
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
POI
1 - 0
FLE
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FLE
3 - 1
AAC
64%
23%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LIL
2 - 4
FLE
26%
28%
46%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ARR
3 - 2
LUC
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ARR
1 - 2
POI
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
AAC
0 - 2
ARR
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ARR
6 - 2
LIL
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SED
1 - 2
ARR
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |