US Fleury-Merogis vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CSM
0 - 3
FLE
22%
27%
51%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SML
0 - 0
FLE
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FLE
1 - 1
VCH
54%
26%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LEH
2 - 0
FLE
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FLE
1 - 0
CAL
52%
27%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 3
LIL
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
IRI
2 - 1
ARR
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ARR
3 - 0
AAC
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
POI
1 - 4
ARR
37%
26%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 0
DRA
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |