FC Flérien vs Caen PTT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
29.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
12º
9º
35
3º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flérien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SAI
2 - 1
FLE
31%
22%
48%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FLE
1 - 0
DIV
46%
21%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
4 - 1
FLE
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FLE
2 - 2
ALE
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
FLE
9%
15%
76%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Caen PTT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 1
CAE
42%
22%
37%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 2
SAI
64%
18%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DIV
1 - 1
CAE
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 1
CAE
18%
19%
63%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 1
CAE
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |