FC Flérien vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
53.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
12º
9º
39
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flérien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 2
VHO
53%
21%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
OIS
2 - 0
FLE
40%
23%
38%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LEH
1 - 1
FLE
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FLE
3 - 2
DIE
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PAI
2 - 1
FLE
10%
14%
76%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 1
CAE
66%
17%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DIV
3 - 2
CAE
18%
20%
62%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 2
QUE
79%
13%
7%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 4
ALE
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
CAE
17%
18%
65%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |