Flavia vs Val do Ulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
FIS
1 - 3
FLA
56%
20%
24%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FLA
3 - 2
AGO
23%
22%
55%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 3
FLA
17%
19%
64%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
PUE
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 2
DUM
25%
25%
50%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Val do Ulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 5
CLU
47%
21%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 1
VAL
62%
20%
18%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VAL
3 - 1
LAL
24%
21%
55%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
COR
2 - 1
VAL
64%
18%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 1
SIL
60%
20%
21%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |