Flavia vs Outes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
FLA
20%
22%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FLA
5 - 0
CRM
48%
23%
29%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SOF
2 - 1
FLA
56%
21%
24%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
SON
3 - 2
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
FLA
3 - 0
HIJ
63%
20%
17%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Outes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
OUT
1 - 2
SIG
51%
22%
27%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MAL
2 - 3
OUT
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
OUT
1 - 1
UNI
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
OUT
1 - 1
BAY
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LCL
0 - 2
OUT
38%
23%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |