Flamurtari vs AF Elbasani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
8º
3º
79
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamurtari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 0
LUF
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BES
1 - 2
FLA
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 0
APO
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 4
FLA
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 1
VOR
46%
25%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BES
0 - 3
ELB
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ELB
2 - 0
BUR
13%
18%
69%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | +8 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
2 - 1
ELB
76%
16%
7%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
BES
0 - 1
ELB
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ELB
3 - 2
APO
11%
20%
70%
|
15 | 53 | 38 | +1 |