Flaminia vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flaminia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
FLA
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 0
SAS
57%
23%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LAN
5 - 3
FLA
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 1
ARZ
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
RIE
2 - 1
FLA
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 3
AVE
26%
23%
52%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 0
SSD
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SAS
0 - 0
SSD
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 1
FOL
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 0
SSD
42%
24%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |