Flaminia vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flaminia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 2
ASD
50%
24%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PON
2 - 1
FLA
55%
24%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TOD
2 - 0
FLA
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
ORV
47%
26%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ZAG
3 - 3
FLA
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SSD
2 - 2
ORV
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 0
SSD
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 2
SSD
63%
21%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 2
TOD
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ASD
3 - 2
SSD
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |