Flamengos vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
76.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 3
MAR
33%
23%
43%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
FLA
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
VIT
27%
24%
49%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FAB
3 - 2
FLA
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 59 | 48 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 2
PRA
11%
19%
70%
|
12 | 48 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAC
0 - 0
ORI
29%
26%
46%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ORI
0 - 2
SIN
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 3
ORI
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ORI
0 - 2
VAR
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
4 - 2
ORI
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |