Copa Rio U20 Semi-finals
Global 1-6
Flamengo U20 vs Botafogo U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
FLA
2 - 0
BAH
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FLU
0 - 1
FLA
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
FLA
2 - 0
INT
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
GRE
2 - 1
FLA
28%
24%
48%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FLA
0 - 1
RES
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 11 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 1
BOT
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOT
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
VAS
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
ATM
2 - 2
BOT
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
BOT
3 - 1
BOA
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 11 | 31 | 0 |