Flamengo SP vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 4
UNI
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
CAT
2 - 0
FLA
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 0
FLA
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 2
UNI
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
COM
1 - 1
SAO
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 3
RIO
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
62%
21%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 2
RIO
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |