Flamengo SP vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 1
FLA
31%
26%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FLA
6 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 1
AME
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
FLA
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 1
NAC
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAU
0 - 0
COL
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAU
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
PAU
0 - 2
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
AMP
2 - 1
PAU
35%
27%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
PAU
1 - 2
COL
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -1 |