Paulista B Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Flamengo SP vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 3
FRA
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 2
FLA
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FLA
4 - 3
MFC
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
FLA
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 1
RIO
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
PAU
2 - 0
ASS
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ASS
0 - 2
PAU
18%
24%
58%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PAU
1 - 2
ASS
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
AMP
1 - 2
PAU
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
PAU
1 - 1
IND
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |