Flamengo SP vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
AME
2 - 1
FLA
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 2
AUD
24%
23%
52%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 0
FLA
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
0 - 1
ATL
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
AME
4 - 2
FLA
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
SER
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BAT
3 - 0
NOV
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
TAU
3 - 1
NOV
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
INT
1 - 0
NOV
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |