Flamengo SP vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 0
RIO
27%
25%
49%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TAB
2 - 2
FLA
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 2
NAC
24%
25%
52%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 2
NOR
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 1
FLA
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
MON
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
PAU
39%
26%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
OLI
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SJS
0 - 1
MON
41%
25%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |