Flamengo SP vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
CAT
1 - 0
FLA
56%
21%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
POR
3 - 3
FLA
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 0
LIN
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
FLA
0 - 0
FER
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 3
FLA
56%
23%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
MON
3 - 1
LIN
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 1
MON
38%
25%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MON
5 - 0
POR
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
AME
1 - 2
MON
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MON
5 - 1
SAO
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |