Flamengo SP vs Mauá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
FLA
66%
21%
13%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 1
FRA
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 2
SAO
41%
27%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLA
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 1
FLA
32%
28%
41%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
MFC
65%
19%
17%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
MFC
0 - 1
GUA
29%
21%
50%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 0
MFC
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
MFC
0 - 1
FLA
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 3
MFC
53%
22%
26%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |