Flamengo SP vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ATI
0 - 0
FLA
56%
22%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 2
PRI
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FER
0 - 0
FLA
17%
22%
60%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
FLA
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
MAT
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
4 - 3
SJS
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
ITA
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
ITA
61%
21%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
NOR
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
INT
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |