Flamengo SP vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2025 |
SAO
2 - 2
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 2
FLA
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
FLA
1 - 2
BAT
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
IND
2 - 2
FLA
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FLA
0 - 0
SAO
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
SAO
3 - 0
IND
38%
27%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
IND
1 - 2
GUA
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
BAT
1 - 0
IND
31%
27%
42%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
IND
2 - 2
FLA
40%
26%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CAT
2 - 0
IND
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |