Flamengo SP vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
0 - 3
FLA
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
INT
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 0
SJS
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TUP
0 - 2
FLA
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
IND
2 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
SJS
4 - 1
IND
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
SER
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 0
IND
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
IND
2 - 0
NOR
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |