Flamengo SP vs Guarulhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BFC
2 - 2
FLA
17%
20%
63%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
FLA
2 - 1
ITA
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PAU
2 - 1
FLA
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FLA
0 - 2
PAU
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 3
FRA
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 3
AMP
46%
23%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BFC
2 - 1
GUA
14%
18%
68%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 2
FER
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CAT
0 - 3
GUA
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |