Flamengo SP vs Guarulhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
PAU
2 - 0
FLA
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 0
FLA
18%
19%
63%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
FLA
4 - 1
SJS
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
AMP
0 - 1
FLA
11%
16%
73%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
FLA
3 - 0
MOG
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
AMP
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAU
10%
19%
71%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | +5 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MOG
1 - 3
GUA
7%
11%
82%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 1
UNI
26%
21%
52%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |