Flamengo SP vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 2
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
FLA
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
OSV
0 - 0
FLA
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 2
AME
78%
15%
8%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
NOR
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
LIN
70%
17%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
AUD
1 - 0
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |