Flamengo vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
PPE
1 - 2
FLA
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 2
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLA
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 2
FOR
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
ATM
31%
25%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
AMF
1 - 1
VIT
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 2
COR
24%
27%
50%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 1
POR
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 1
VIT
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |