Flamengo vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 1
CRI
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
ATM
4 - 0
FLA
61%
21%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 2
COT
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 2
FLA
26%
27%
47%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
ATM
4 - 1
FLA
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FFL
2 - 0
VIT
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
COT
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 1
VIT
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 3
SER
87%
10%
3%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 2
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |