Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama analysis

Flamengo Vasco da Gama
89 ELO 76
6.1% Tilt 4.7%
127º General ELO ranking 148º
Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
79.6%
Flamengo
13.7%
Draw
6.7%
Vasco da Gama

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
Flamengo
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.7%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Flamengo
+13%
-10%
Vasco da Gama

ELO progression

Flamengo
Vasco da Gama
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
55%
23%
22%
89 88 1 0
05 Mar. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
0 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
81%
13%
6%
89 75 14 0
01 Mar. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Independiente del Valle
IVT
75%
16%
10%
89 81 8 0
25 Feb. 2023
BOT
Botafogo
0 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
17%
22%
61%
89 81 8 0
22 Feb. 2023
IVT
Independiente del Valle
1 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
18%
22%
60%
90 82 8 -1

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2023
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 0
Bangu
BAN
86%
11%
3%
76 49 27 0
05 Mar. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
0 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
81%
13%
6%
75 89 14 +1
27 Feb. 2023
VAS
Vasco da Gama
4 - 1
Boavista SC
BOA
86%
11%
3%
75 48 27 0
24 Feb. 2023
TDC
Trem DC
0 - 4
Vasco da Gama
VAS
5%
14%
81%
75 28 47 0
17 Feb. 2023
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
36%
27%
37%
74 82 8 +1