Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 2
RES
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 3
FLA
14%
20%
67%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ATM
2 - 2
FLA
46%
23%
31%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MAD
1 - 2
FLA
3%
13%
84%
|
90 | 50 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FLA
5 - 0
NOV
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 53 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
FER
0 - 1
VAS
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 0
VAS
68%
20%
13%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
AUD
0 - 1
VAS
9%
19%
72%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 0
BAN
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
VAS
0 - 1
BOT
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |