Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 1
BAH
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLA
15%
23%
62%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FLA
4 - 1
COR
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
GOI
2 - 2
FLA
13%
22%
65%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FLA
1 - 0
CSA
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CSA
0 - 3
VAS
25%
29%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 2
PAL
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 3
GRE
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CEA
1 - 1
VAS
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |