Flamengo vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
CEA
2 - 2
FLA
18%
22%
61%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 0
ALT
89%
9%
3%
|
90 | 52 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 1
BOT
78%
15%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
TAL
2 - 2
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 2
FLA
2%
12%
86%
|
90 | 51 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
UCO
3 - 0
ULC
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
NUB
4 - 0
UCO
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 1
UCO
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
UCO
2 - 3
FLA
6%
16%
78%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
UCO
1 - 1
COL
39%
26%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |