Flamengo vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 2
BOT
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BOA
1 - 2
FLA
7%
15%
78%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
3 - 3
OLA
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
FLU
3 - 5
FLA
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
FLA
3 - 2
AME
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
OHI
1 - 0
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2010 |
UCO
0 - 2
CSL
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
UCO
3 - 2
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
UCO
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |