Flamengo vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 1
FLA
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 0
FLA
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 2
PAL
40%
26%
35%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
PPE
1 - 2
FLA
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
VIT
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 2
ATP
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 1
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 0
SAO
30%
28%
43%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAL
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |