Flamengo vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 1
VAS
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
4 - 2
FLA
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
FLA
3 - 2
ATP
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
PPE
1 - 0
FLA
34%
28%
39%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 2
SAN
42%
26%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 2
CEA
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 3
GOI
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
FFL
0 - 2
SAO
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
COR
46%
28%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
ATM
3 - 1
SAO
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |