Flamengo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 4
FLA
11%
24%
66%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FLA
3 - 0
FLU
59%
23%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
COR
0 - 3
FLA
43%
28%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BAH
0 - 0
FLA
32%
27%
42%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
FLA
42%
28%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
BOC
2 - 0
PAL
39%
27%
35%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 1
CEA
79%
15%
6%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 0
GRE
58%
24%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 2
PAL
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 0
COL
70%
19%
12%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |