Flamengo vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.4%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
AME
2 - 2
FLA
25%
24%
51%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLA
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
FLA
1 - 0
VOL
89%
9%
3%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
MAD
0 - 4
FLA
6%
17%
78%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2000 |
RIV
1 - 1
FLA
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
OLA
1 - 4
VAS
8%
20%
72%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
OLA
3 - 2
BAN
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2000 |
BOT
2 - 1
OLA
84%
12%
5%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
OLA
3 - 1
FRI
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
AME
3 - 0
OLA
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |