Carioca 1 Etapas Finales. Final
Global 4-0
Flamengo vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 1
FLA
16%
23%
61%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 3
FLA
8%
19%
73%
|
91 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 0
FLU
56%
23%
21%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 2
FLA
44%
25%
31%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FLA
3 - 0
MAD
88%
10%
3%
|
90 | 45 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 3
FLA
8%
19%
73%
|
61 | 91 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 0
VAS
14%
22%
63%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 2
SCI
10%
23%
66%
|
59 | 91 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VAS
1 - 1
NOV
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VOL
1 - 2
NOV
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |